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	<title>Research Lab Blog</title>
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	<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com</link>
	<description>Information &#38; Analysis from The Investing Systems Research Lab</description>
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		<title>Investing Systems Research Lab &#8211; Members Update March 6th, 2010</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/349/investing-systems-research-lab-members-update-march-6th-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/349/investing-systems-research-lab-members-update-march-6th-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 04:44:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/349/investing-systems-research-lab-members-update-march-6th-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome Back Members&#8230;it was quite the interesting week. I hope you joined us for the Live Broadcasts at the market open.
This morning we discussed GMO (General Moly) shortly after the open (along with other picks that did quite well).



 



&#160;
Wow. All it takes is one of these to make your day. As you know this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome Back Members&#8230;it was quite the interesting week. I hope you joined us for the Live Broadcasts at the market open.</p>
<p>This morning we discussed GMO (General Moly) shortly after the open (along with other picks that did quite well).</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/gmo352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="gmo352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/gmo352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Wow. All it takes is one of these to make your day. As you know this is fairly typical of the Low Priced scan.</p>
<p>For those of you more interested in our swing-trades, let&#8217;s take a quick review of the Trade Plans from February:</p>
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<td valign="top" width="380"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/feb2010tpcl.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="464" alt="feb2010tpcl" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/feb2010tpcl_thumb.png" width="376" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Not too shabby, I must say. Log into the Research Lab to see the detailed Trade Plan Charts on these.</p>
<p>You can also read back several posts on this blog to see some of the set-ups.</p>
<p>We still have one <strong>Open Plan</strong> from Feb, <strong>TLAB </strong>which <strong>hit Target 2 today</strong>. When it finally closes it will go into Feb stats.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/tlab352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="tlab352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/tlab352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Notice the secondary entry on the trendline break for anyone that missed the initial entry. </p>
<p>Now that TLAB has hit Target 2, the stop has been raised to the Entry price of $6.80, with the idea that most of the profits have already been taken. Originally we suggested selling 1/2 at Target 1, which hit two days after the entry as you see on the chart above.</p>
<p>We like to show you a different perspective on our trades in this blog where we have more flexibility with the charts. The<strong> Live</strong> <strong>Trade Plan Charts</strong> don&#8217;t always show the bigger picture.</p>
<p>Here is a great example:</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/prx352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="prx352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/prx352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This trade is on the Waiting Trade Plans page from yesterday and we will probably give it another couple sessions to see if it fills. Remember, <strong>Waiting trades only fill if they hit the exact Entry price</strong>.</p>
<p>By the way, <strong>this Blog is intended for Investing Systems Research Lab Members only</strong>. If you are a guest and have taken any of these trades, please show your appreciation and <strong>get your Trading Karma straight</strong> by supporting our Research Lab with at least the <strong>$100 &#8220;ala carte&#8221; months membership.</strong></p>
<p><a title="http://www.the-market-toolbox.com/join.html" href="http://www.the-market-toolbox.com/join.html"><strong>http://www.the-market-toolbox.com/join.html</strong></a></p>
<p><strong>With the daily stock picks and the Trade Plans we are quite confident that you want to be &#8220;on the inside&#8221;, even with the nominal fee for admission.</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>I am hesitant to post any of the trades we are watching for next week as they have not been loaded in the Trade Plans yet. They are simply ideas and will require more analysis.</p>
<p>Also, our system has not run the main updates to find next weeks trades, so these are just to show you for fun. Call it some &#8220;stocks to watch&#8221;.</p>
<p>CYTX &#8211; Keep a close eye for a break-out above the green line and into the yellow ellipse.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/cytx352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="cytx352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/cytx352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This seems like a fairly risky stock, and perhaps we are a bit premature, but then again&#8230;</p>
<p>I would almost prefer another week of consolidation and then a break above the green horizontal line.</p>
<p>I will throw in one more on the watchlist, but this is not going to be a Trade Plan next week as I am certain we will find much higher probability set-ups.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/mspd352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="mspd352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/mspd352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>MSPD was the first Trade Plan of the year in 2010</strong>. Notice the green arrow and ellipse at the bottom left of the chart indicating the Entry.</p>
<p>It is still on the watchlist but we think perhaps we will get a better entry on this down the road and not necessarily next week.</p>
<p><strong>You want a speculative stock? Sure, why not.</strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/appa352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="appa352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/appa352010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The chart tells it all. We want to watch this stock as it moves toward the inevitable apex of the triangle. If and when it breaks out to the upside through the green trendline, we consider that a good speculative entry. The stop loss would be placed at the red line, say $1.70. If the stock fell below the red line before it exceeds the green line, then the trade is &#8220;no bien&#8221; and discarded in the heap of ones that didn&#8217;t &#8220;behave&#8221;.</p>
<p>As a value-added service for our Members I thought I would share some interesting information I stumbled across.</p>
<blockquote><p>Below you will find Goldman Sachs&#8217; VIP List with the name of the stock followed by the number of hedge funds that own that stock in their top ten holdings.
<ol>
<li>Apple (AAPL): 67 hedge funds hold it as a top ten holding
<li>Pfizer (PFE): 45
<li>Bank of America (BAC): 37
<li>Google (GOOG): 37
<li>JPMorgan Chase (JPM): 36
<li>Microsoft (MSFT): 36
<li>Mastercard (MA): 29
<li>DirecTV (DTV): 27
<li>Wells Fargo (WFC): 27
<li>CVS Caremark (CVS): 24
<li>Citigroup (C): 23
<li>Hewlett Packard (HPQ): 23
<li>Monsanto (MON): 23
<li>Visa (V): 23
<li>Cisco Systems (CSCO): 21
<li>Walmart (WMT): 21
<li>Oracle (ORCL): 18
<li>Qualcomm (QCOM): 18
<li>Exxon Mobil (XOM): 18
<li>Ebay (EBAY): 17
<li>Wellpoint (WLP): 17
<li>Intel (INTC): 16
<li>Mead Johnson Nutrition (MJN): 16
<li>Merck (MRK): 16
<li>Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ): 15
<li>Liberty Media (LSTZA): 15
<li>Amazon (AMZN): 14
<li>Apache (APA): 14
<li>EMC (EMC): 14
<li>Express Scripts (ESRX): 14
<li>Ford Motor (F): 14
<li>IBM (IBM): 14
<li>Lear (LEA): 14
<li>Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA): 14
<li>Yahoo (YHOO): 14
<li>Crown Castle (CCI): 13
<li>McDonald&#8217;s (MCD): 13
<li>Transocean (RIG): 13
<li>Barrick Gold (ABX): 12
<li>SBA Communications (SBAC): 12
<li>US Bancorp (USB): 12
<li>Anadarko Petroleum (APC): 11
<li>Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): 11
<li>Philip Morris International (PM): 11
<li>Transdigm Group (TDG): 11
<li>Target (TGT): 11
<li>Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO): 11
<li>American Tower (AMT): 10
<li>Comcast (CMCSA): 10
<li>Freeport McMoran (FCX): 10</li>
</ol>
<p>Of the stocks mentioned, there are a handful that are brand new additions to Goldman&#8217;s VIP list. This means that enough hedge funds have brought their stakes in the company up to a top 10 position in their respective portfolios. Positions that hedgies added largely to in the fourth quarter include: Wells Fargo (WFC), Mead Johnson (MJN), Merck (MRK), Liberty Media (LSTZA), Amazon (AMZN), Apache (APA), IBM (IBM), Lear (LEA), Crown Castle (CCI), SBA Communications (SBAC), US Bancorp (USB), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Target (TGT), American Tower (AMT), and Freeport McMoran (FCX).
<p>Read more: <a href="http://www.marketfolly.com/2010/03/goldman-sachs-vip-list-most-important.html#ixzz0hMn4oajm">http://www.marketfolly.com/2010/03/goldman-sachs-vip-list-most-important.html#ixzz0hMn4oajm</a> </p>
</blockquote>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Lastly, I wanted to demonstrate the value of the Earnings Scan with a Widget View from today.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="264"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/earnwid352010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="443" alt="earnwid352010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/earnwid352010_thumb.png" width="263" border="0"></a> </td>
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</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Widgets are excellent in that they show the Top-10 picks form each scan in real-time each day along with live 15-minute charts.</p>
<p>The Earnings list consists of stocks that have released in the past 3 days that are making a significant move from the Open. If you get a chance pull up the chart on these so you can see how they did today and over the past few days. You will want to see the move in SXCI yesterday where it went from 52 to 60. Then it was a pick again today at 58.92 and closed at 62, wow. Shows you what an earnings release can do.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Ok, so next week we will do another &#8220;big picture&#8221; look at the overall market. As you know, the past three weeks we have been quite constructive on the market as the S&amp;P managed to close above the 30-week moving average and the 10-week is still above the 30-week (see prior posts).</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>So that&#8217;s it folks. Enjoy your weekend and I hope you locked in a bunch of profits last week because we are very likely to turn negative in the short-term. The market is quite overbought at this point. Next week will be very tricky so <strong>be sure to join us in the Live Broadcast Monday morning</strong>.</p>
<p>If you are not a Member of Investing Systems research Lab please click the logo below and show your support by joining.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="329"><a href="http://www.investing-systems-network.com"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="104" alt="RLlogoFull" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/RLlogoFull.png" width="328" border="0"></a> </td>
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		<title>Investing Systems Research Lab Trade Plan Recap and Market Analysis</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/331/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-recap-and-market-analysis/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/331/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-recap-and-market-analysis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Feb 2010 00:30:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/331/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-recap-and-market-analysis/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome Members. Last week several Trade Plans were closed as winners.
IPXL was probably the most impressive with a huge move on Thursday that surpassed Target 3. The Entry and Target 3 are shown on the chart below.



 



&#160;
WTNY hit target 3 on Wednesday as shown on the chart and was closed right near the high&#8230;how [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Welcome Members. Last week several Trade Plans were closed as winners.</strong></p>
<p>IPXL was probably the most impressive with a huge move on Thursday that surpassed Target 3. The Entry and Target 3 are shown on the chart below.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl227.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="ipxl227" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl227_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>WTNY hit target 3 on Wednesday as shown on the chart and was closed right near the high&#8230;how sweet is that?</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wtny227.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="wtny227" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wtny227_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>CSE only managed to hit Target 2, then retraced back to the Breakeven stop at Entry.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cse227.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="cse227" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cse227_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We still have one Open Trade, TLAB, which has hit Target 1 and actually in a pretty good spot going into next week.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tlab227.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="tlab227" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tlab227_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Entry and Target 1 are indicated on the chart above, along with the Breakeven Stop.</p>
<p><strong>Log into the Research Lab for complete details and updates on Waiting and Open trades.</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>As we head into March, let&#8217;s take a look at the overall market to see where we are and what we can expect.</strong></p>
<p>Here is a Monthly chart of SPY.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spym2272010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spym2272010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spym2272010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Notice the market is sandwiched right between the <strong>10-month and 30-month moving averages</strong>. You can also see the current channel and interestingly enough the uptrend line and 10-month ended Feb at almost exactly the same point. That is the major support to watch.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s zoom in to the <strong>Weekly </strong>chart.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spyw2272010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spyw2272010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spyw2272010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>While we had a couple close calls earlier in Feb where the SPY moved below the 30-week moving average, it managed to close above it both times.</p>
<p>You can see the current channel and we consider the bottom uptrend to be the major support as we go forward. If the market can remain above the 30-week MA and inside the channel, we will remain constructive and it will make it a lot easier for us to trade to the long side.</p>
<p>If the market is getting ready for a move lower or even a tumble we will know by watching for the following.</p>
<ul>
<li>A close below the 30-Week Moving Average
<li>A break of the price below the uptrend line that forms the bottom of the channel
<li>The 10-Week Moving average crossing below the 30-Week Moving Average.</li>
</ul>
<p>If we see any of these occur we will expect the market to move into the red shaded area, which will put us on the major defensive.</p>
<p>We will keep you updated in the Live Broadcasts in the Research Lab as well as on the Wednesday and Sunday evening shows.</p>
<p><strong>Regardless of what the overall market does, we can make money trading stocks.</strong></p>
<p>Obviously we prefer to trade to the long side in an up market, however we have ways to take advantage when and if the market turns down. We will be discussing this in the Live Broadcasts so please joins us.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Lastly, we have a special situation stock to bring to your attention, BBEP.</strong></p>
<p>We came very close to loading this into the system as a Trade Plan for Friday, but decided to present it here on the Blog as a &#8220;stock to watch&#8221;.</p>
<p>We will also be discussing this stock and our &#8220;special strategy&#8221; on this Wednesday&#8217;s show.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/bbep227.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="bbep227" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/bbep227_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>BBEP is a MLP (Master Limited Partnership). It is an oil and gas royalty trust.</strong></p>
<p>We like the chart and have indicated in the shaded ellipse the area we like as a buy zone.</p>
<p>The red line indicates the stop-loss.</p>
<p>BBEP announced its intention to reinstate quarterly cash distributions at the rate of $0.375 per quarter, or $1.50 on an annualized basis, beginning with the first quarter 2010 distribution. The Partnership intends to pay this distribution on or before May 15, 2010. This is roughly a 10% yield at the current price, however we have some tricks up our sleeve that we will share with members on the show. <strong>Essentially we intend to use our scale-in and scale out technique to bag some &#8220;low-cost&#8221; shares that can be held as an &#8220;investment&#8221;.</strong></p>
<p>Haha! Imagine that, <strong>us</strong> dealing with anything so far-fetched as an &#8220;investment&#8221;.</p>
<p>Of course <strong>we are NOT recommending you just buy this</strong> as an investment. We are saying that<strong> we like the chart. We have a stop-loss point. And, we have a strategy to trade the stock</strong> with the goal of bagging some low-cost shares. We can then adjust the stop for a no-lose investment.</p>
<p>Members have noticed notes recently on some of the Trade Plans that say <strong>&#8220;no-lose&#8221; trade</strong>. This is the result of proper trade management and moving of stops to breakeven.</p>
<p>We will answer any questions and cover all this in more detail on the broadcasts and on the shows.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s all for this week folks. <strong>We will see you at the opening bell in the Research Lab</strong>.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="244"><a href="http://www.investing-systems-network.com"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="78" alt="RLlogoFull" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/RLlogoFull2.png" width="244" border="0"></a> </td>
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		<title>Investing Systems Research Lab Trade Plan Status Update for Members</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/314/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-status-update-for-members/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/314/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-status-update-for-members/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Feb 2010 04:14:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/314/investing-systems-research-lab-trade-plan-status-update-for-members/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Let&#8217;s a take a look at the Trade Plans from last week.
First we have a couple Closed Plans that hit Target 1, Target 2 and Target 3 last week.
The Entry price is shown in the yellow circle.
NKTR



 



&#160;
STX



 



&#160;
As of today we have several Open Trade Plans. These stocks have already hit the Entry and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s a take a look at the <strong>Trade Plans from last week</strong>.</p>
<p>First we have a couple <strong>Closed Plans that hit Target 1, Target 2 and Target 3</strong> last week.</p>
<p>The Entry price is shown in the yellow circle.</p>
<p><strong>NKTR</strong></p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/nktr219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="nktr219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/nktr219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>STX</strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/stx219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="stx219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/stx219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>As of today we have several <strong>Open Trade Plans</strong>. These stocks have already hit the Entry and Target 1. Note that the Breakeven stop has been raised to the red line, so <strong>these are no-lose trades</strong>. Log in the <strong>Research Lab Trade Planner</strong> for specific details.</p>
<p><strong>CSE</strong></p>
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<tbody>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cse219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="cse219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cse219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>WTNY</strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wtny219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="wtny219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wtny219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>TLAB</strong></p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tlab219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="tlab219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tlab219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>And finally, the <strong>Open trade in IPXL, which has not yet hit Target 1</strong>. We may have been a little early on this entry but the chart still looks nice. We would like to see a high-volume break to the upside on this next week.</p>
<p><strong>IPXL</strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl219.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="ipxl219" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl219_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>So there you have it. A different view the current Trade Plans in the Research Lab.</p>
<p>Have a great weekend everyone!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>President&#8217;s Day Weekend Market Analysis &#8211; Investing Systems Market Toolbox Research Lab</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/296/presidents-day-weekend-market-analysis-investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/296/presidents-day-weekend-market-analysis-investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Feb 2010 06:28:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/296/presidents-day-weekend-market-analysis-investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome Research Lab Members, stock-speculators and market spectators. Let&#8217;s jump right in to see where the stock market is likely headed from here.
Green box or Red box? We will&#160; know very soon&#8230;
&#160;



 



&#160;
The S&#38;P 500 is at a critical juncture as you can see on the weekly chart of SPY above.
We had a green candle [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Welcome Research Lab Members, stock-speculators and market spectators.</strong> Let&#8217;s jump right in to see where the stock market is likely headed from here.</p>
<p>Green box or Red box? We will&nbsp; know very soon&#8230;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spyw2132010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spyw2132010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/spyw2132010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
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</tbody>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The S&amp;P 500 is at a critical juncture as you can see on the weekly chart of SPY above.</p>
<p>We had a green candle last week and we <strong>closed above the 30-week moving average</strong>. The week ended with a higher low than the previous week.</p>
<p>These are good signs the market may be stabilizing after the recent sharp correction.</p>
<p><strong>Next week is indeed critical as you can see above. We are either headed into the green box or the red box.</strong> </p>
<p>The market has yet to determine which one so we suggest you proceed with caution and let the market show us which box will contain the price over the next few weeks.</p>
<p><strong>Watch the price action in relation to the 30-week moving average and the rising trend-line.</strong></p>
<p>If the green uptrend line holds, we might be headed to the upper-end of the channel, which would be a huge victory for the bulls.</p>
<p>Conversely, we DEFINITELY want to be prepared for the potential of a move into the red shaded box. That would not be a pretty picture and would make for a much tougher trading environment.</p>
<p><strong>Never rule out the possibility of a Black Swan event triggering a swift 30%-50% decline in the market.</strong> That possibility comes with the territory and that is why we use stops at all times on every open position.</p>
<p>Holding a stock overnight is risky and we recommend a combination of daytrading and swingtrading, taking profits quickly and being heavy in cash, especially on the weekends.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Now on to a couple patterns we like.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<tr>
<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="ipxl" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ipxl_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/nktr.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="nktr" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/nktr_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We are seeing a lot of similar trade-set ups as the ones above and there is no question that many stocks are acting very strong right now.</p>
<p>If the overall news cycle cooperates, we could see some explosive short-term up moves up in individual stocks. Get ready if this thing breaks to the upside and moves into the green box.</p>
<p>We deleted RXII from the Trade Plans because the breakout did not materialize in the expected time-frame however we are still interested if we see a big volume breakout of the triangle. Keep it on your watchlist.</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/rxii.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="rxii" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/rxii_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>A &#8220;melt-up rally&#8221; is not generally expected by the street at this point so we definitely want to be on the lookout for just that, and more specifically the stocks that will participate the most.</p>
<p>We watch those kind stocks every day in the Research Lab. You members know that our intra-day scans isolate kick-ass stocks every single day. </p>
<p>In the RL each day we have the finger on the pulse of the markets and the leading stocks. What is almost impossible to comprehend is that the Airlines, Restaurants, Retailers and Homebuilders have been among the leaders recently.<strong> This proves that nothing makes sense and you have to trade what you see.</strong></p>
<p>If we break the 30-week and the channel and move into the red box all bets are off and we will move to defensive mode.</p>
<p>Here is the only swing-trade Trade Plan to close last week. It hit all three Targets, which is exactly what we want to see.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/entr.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="269" alt="entr" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/entr_thumb.png" width="530" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>January was rough and the choppiness wreaked havoc on some of our stops, especially in the case of CIEN, where the set-up was sweet, but the volatility took us out. We did mention on Wednesdays show that we still liked the pattern. We are already adapting our system to avoid some of these shake-outs.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cien.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="cien" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/cien_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Recently we have had several questions on timing intra-day entries.</p>
<p><strong>What are we watching specifically to help determine entry points in our trades?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Exactly what you see below, though it&#8217;s not always this picture perfect.</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/5minuteentrychart.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="443" alt="5minuteentrychart" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/5minuteentrychart_thumb.png" width="514" border="0"></a> </p>
<p>Above you will see a set of great entries on a 5-minute intraday chart. Pretty self-explanatory.</p>
<p>As you see it is not necessary to jump in a trade right at the open. We prefer to wait for the first trendline break and the best stocks will offer multiple entries as you see.</p>
<p>Join us live in the Research Lab as we find and discuss these set-ups in real-time with the picks from our stock scans. </p>
<p>Doug is a master at marking up the charts as we go. We will get into more examples and elaboration next time.</p>
<p>Until then&#8230;</p>
<p>Have a great long weekend and tune in next week. We think we are gearing up for quite the exciting showdown in the markets.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong></strong>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="251"><a href="http://www.stocktraderssoftware.net"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="78" alt="RLlogoFull" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/RLlogoFull.png" width="244" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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		<title>Trading Defensively in an Uncertain Market Environment</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/280/trading-defensively-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/280/trading-defensively-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Jan 2010 02:17:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/280/trading-defensively-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s time to take another look at&#160; the overall market now that we are clearly in the midst of a correction.
The good news is that we are still in an upward trending channel and we expect a lot of support from the bottom of the channel.
This is going to take some time to play out [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s time to take another look at&nbsp; the overall market now that we are clearly in the midst of a correction.</p>
<p>The good news is that we are still in an upward trending channel and we expect a lot of support from the bottom of the channel.</p>
<p>This is going to take some time to play out and with the market quite oversold on a short-term basis we expect there will be a rally next week.</p>
<p><strong>It is very important technically for the SPY to remain in this channel.</strong> </p>
<p>However if the channel is broken to the downside we can see the market fill the gap from November and would expect even more support on the horizontal red line drawn on that gap.</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spy1232010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spy1232010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spy1232010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If the market is ready for a more substantial correction, we can look to the weekly chart for an indication of how far it could potentially fall.</p>
<p>Again, this is a longer-term analysis and does not mean we can not make good money trading short-term. We will just need to be more defensive as we proceed and not attempt to fight the tape.</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spyw1232010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spyw1232010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spyw1232010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>You can clearly see the channel on the chart above along with potential fibonacci retracements if the channel does indeed give way.</p>
<p>It is not a pretty picture as the first major support at the 38.2% retracement is a long way down at 96.80 on the SPY.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>So the environment has turned somewhat negative in a short period of time as <strong>the market was literally hitting new 52-week highs just last week</strong> at roughly 115 on the SPY.</p>
<p>(By the way we use the SPY as the proxy for that we call &#8220;the market&#8221;. SPY is an ETF that trades just link a stock that represents the S&amp;P 500 and trades at a price of 10% of the index. So if the SPY is at 109 the S&amp;P 500 index will be right around 1090.)</p>
<p>With this in mind let there be no mistake, <strong>it is tough to trade stocks to the long side when the overall market is correcting.</strong></p>
<p>Personally we lean more towards daytrading and are reluctant to have a lot of open positions at any one time. We tend to trade with smaller position sizes and always have stop-loss orders in place.</p>
<p>There will opportunities to swing-trade stocks however we suggest taking all profits at Target 1 on Trade Plans until the picture becomes clearer.</p>
<p>There are a lot of &#8220;busted charts&#8221; of individual stocks and the field of stocks with intact patterns is becoming a lot narrower.</p>
<p>The good news is that as long as we know to trade defensively we can still capture short-term gains, but this is no environment for buy and hold investing.</p>
<p><strong>While it may seem quite contrary to conventional wisdom, we think that lower-priced stocks will offer some of the best opportunities to deliver quick in-an-out profits in the near-term.</strong> The reason is that the higher priced stocks can generally not deliver the 7% to 9% gains we look for quick enough to avoid holding into another potential leg down. Some of the lower-priced stocks also seem to have the most attractive patterns.</p>
<p>Regardless of what the overall market does, there will be plenty of opportunities to make money trading. The buy and hold investor, as we have mentioned many times, is in a really tough spot right now. We don&#8217;t think buy and hold investing is the way to go and we actually think it is much riskier than in-and-out trading.</p>
<p><strong>Take a look at this chart of the market over the last 11 years.</strong></p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spym1232010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spym1232010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spym1232010_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Anyone that bought &#8220;the market&#8221; in the red shaded area is underwater right now. As we see, the red shaded area encompasses much more time than the area below it, so the odds are that most buy and holders have lost money in this timeframe, hence the phrase &#8220;lost decade&#8221;.</p>
<p>Buying and holding individual stocks has fared much better in many cases, but then again it is all based on stock selection.</p>
<p>We are not against holding a stock for the long-term IF your cost basis has been lowered by trading the stock and selling a portion, so that you can have a stop in place to insure that you will never lose on the position.</p>
<p>We actually advocate a strategy of taking profits in shares rather than in dollars. This is the perfect way to build a portfolio of stocks with a very low cost basis and setting stops at that cost basis or even higher insures that you can never lose on the position.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Since we are not particularly constructive on the overall market or the idea of long-term buy and hold investing, we will focus on trading. Trading is where the money is made and the safest investment of all is when your trading account is all cash. Cash is king. Hit and run trading is our strategy because we don&#8217;t trust the market one bit over the long-haul.</p>
<p>Trading is a series of short-term bets. We always use stop-loss orders and know the risk ahead of time.</p>
<p>Looking at the chart above would you feel comfortable buying Monday as a lump-sum, long-term, buy-and-hold investor? I wouldn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Next week we will focus on strategies we use for trading individual stocks.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Research Lab Swing Trades Off To a Great Start With HEAT and MSPD</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/272/research-lab-swing-trades-off-to-a-great-start-with-heat-and-mspd/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/272/research-lab-swing-trades-off-to-a-great-start-with-heat-and-mspd/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 00:38:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/272/research-lab-swing-trades-off-to-a-great-start-with-heat-and-mspd/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The year is off to a great start and we appreciate the feedback and support of all our members. We are glad to hear that you are already deep in the money following our Trade Plans.



 



&#160;
As you can see HEAT was the first trade of the year. It hit the Entry, Target 1 and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The year is off to a great start and we appreciate the feedback and support of all our members. We are glad to hear that you are already deep in the money following our Trade Plans.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/tp152010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="415" alt="tp152010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/tp152010_thumb.png" width="483" border="0"></a> </td>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>As you can see <strong>HEAT was the first trade of the year</strong>. It hit the Entry, Target 1 and Target 2 in the opening session. This morning it hit Target 3 and was moved to the Closed Trade Plans as the first big winner of the year.</p>
<p><strong>MSPD</strong> was also on deck but just hit the Entry and filled today. It blasted right through all three Targets in today&#8217;s session and actually closed well over Target 3.</p>
<p><strong>While the Trade Plans are designed to be Swing Trades, it&#8217;s nice to be able to lock in our target profits quickly.</strong></p>
<p>We are thrilled to be off to such a great start and look forward to many more great trades like these.</p>
<p>We have done some behind-the-scenes work on our system and think it will pay off big going forward.</p>
<p>No matter what the market does, we can look forward to making money trading stocks.</p>
<p><strong>There is currently one Trade Plan on deck that&#8217;s looking really good, so get your Entry in at your broker as it&#8217;s very likely to fill in the morning.</strong></p>
<p>Until next time&#8230;best wishes and good trading!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Not a Member of the research Lab?</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.investing-systems.com/research_lab_tour.html">Click Here to See What It&#8217;s All About</a></strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="255"><a href="http://www.investing-systems.com/research_lab_tour.html"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="37" alt="RL1t" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/RL1t1.png" width="244" border="0"></a> </td>
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		<title>Trading Stocks and Making Money in 2010 &#8211; Happy New Year!</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/268/trading-stocks-and-making-money-in-2010-happy-new-year/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/268/trading-stocks-and-making-money-in-2010-happy-new-year/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2010 00:44:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/268/trading-stocks-and-making-money-in-2010-happy-new-year/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160;
The New Year always gives us something to look forward to. We see it as a benchmark in time where we can anticipate the future with optimism after having reflected on the past year. It&#8217;s always a new beginning and we are confident no matter what the future holds, we can continue to thrive trading [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The New Year always gives us something to look forward to. We see it as a benchmark in time where we can anticipate the future with optimism after having reflected on the past year. It&#8217;s always a new beginning and we are confident no matter what the future holds, we can continue to thrive trading stocks and make a good living doing what we do best.</p>
<p><strong>While many of the Home Run trades were a result of the real-time stock picks in the Research Lab, the Trade Plans came in with an excellent track record.</strong></p>
<p>Going into the New Year, we have 5 open Trade Plans, all of which have hit Target 1. These trades carry over into 2010, and when closed will go into the final stats for December.</p>
<p>Lets take a look at the overall stats for 2009.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Trade Plan Statistics for 2009</strong></p>
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<td valign="top" width="383"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/2009tpstats.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="712" alt="2009tpstats" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/2009tpstats_thumb.png" width="379" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>(only the recent couple months details are shown &#8211; <a href="http://www.investing-systems.com/research_lab_tour.html">Members can see the trades and details going back a full year in the RL</a>)</em></p>
<p><strong>When the current plans close we will see that just over 75% of the trade plans hit Target 1 and 60% hit Target 2.</strong> We consider that quite respectable.</p>
<p>As our Members are aware, we have been suggesting that traders consider closing the trade and taking profits at Target 1. In some cases we suggest to sell 1/2 at target 1 and 1/2 at Target 2, however with the right circumstances and in the right environment we often hold out for Target 3. You can hear our current thoughts on trading the Plans in the Live Broadcast in the Research Lab during market hours.</p>
<p>So enough about the past. We are implementing some new techniques in 2010 that we think will bring our stats up the<strong> goal of 80% Target 1 winners</strong> going forward.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at where we are set to start 2010 to help judge the market environment going forward.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s where the SPY stands now on the 60-minute chart.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spy60min12312009.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="spy60min12312009" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spy60min12312009_thumb.png" width="505" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>That last 60-minute bar of 2009 leads us to believe the market may drift back into the channel however we will have to see how it trades on the first days of the New Year.</p>
<p>This is definitely a time for being cautious. We are all aware of the problems in the real economy and we can not rule out the possibility of a rough market or a significant pullback. </p>
<p>We see below that the market has retraced 50% of the move from the all-time high to the March lows, and it seems to be stalling there.</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spyw112010.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="355" alt="spyw112010" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/spyw112010_thumb.png" width="505" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>While it&#8217;s difficult to see in the graphic, the move off the lows has occurred on much lower than average volume. We suspect the reasons for such a dramatic move off the lows are not because things have improved so much in the real world, but a typical snap-back reaction to the panic selling that preceded it. In other words, we are by no means expecting a new Bull market to begin from these levels.</p>
<p><strong>The <a href="http://www.investing-systems.com/research_lab_tour.html">Research Lab</a> is all about trading stocks short-term, daytrading and swing-trading.</strong> We can be successful and make money trading stocks in any environment, no matter what the market does.</p>
<p>Investing for the long term is an entirely different animal and our long-time members know that we have constantly advocated gold and silver as primary long term investments. We still do.</p>
<p>We do not trust the idea of buy and hold unless you are in a position where the stocks you hold have a very low cost-basis, obtained by scaling out of a winning position, taking profits in shares rather than dollars. Even then it is imperative that you maintain a stop-loss on every stock in your portfolio at all times.</p>
<p>Personally I feel that holding a stock overnight is risky, however in order to take advantage of the major runs that many of our picks have, it is a risk that we must take in some cases. I think a combination of daytrading and swing-trading is the way to go into the future, with an eye on the exits and stops in place at all times.</p>
<p><strong>We can not rule out the possibility of a major market melt-down in 2010.</strong></p>
<p>The overall economy and the global financial and economic system has never been more dysfunctional and fragile. We want to keep that in mind as we seek to minimize risk by frequently being in all cash, flat and liquid in our trading accounts.</p>
<p>The best trades are quick &#8220;hit and run&#8221; trades where we get in and out the same day. The real-time stock picks lists find perfect candidates on a daily basis.</p>
<p>We are confident that 2010 will be our best year ever in the Research Lab and we want to thank our Members for their support over the past year.</p>
<p>We look forward to the opportunity to serve you and will do anything we can to help you take advantage of the powerful toolset we have assembled.</p>
<p>Happy 2010!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Research Lab Update the Week Before Christmas</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/260/research-lab-update-the-week-before-christmas/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/260/research-lab-update-the-week-before-christmas/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 04:39:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/260/research-lab-update-the-week-before-christmas/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160;
The stock market has been quite choppy and moving sideways over the last month as we can see by this 60-minute chart of the SPY:
&#160;



 



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We will most likely stay in this trading range for the remainder of the year.
We would expect that a Santa Claus Rally might take it back up toward the upper [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The stock market has been quite choppy and moving sideways over the last month as we can see by this 60-minute chart of the SPY:</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<tr>
<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/SPY12182009.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="501" alt="SPY12182009" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/SPY12182009_thumb.png" width="484" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We will most likely stay in this trading range for the remainder of the year.</p>
<p>We would expect that a Santa Claus Rally might take it back up toward the upper end of the channel, however if we were to break down through the lower bar, it would be extremely bearish.</p>
<p>As long as we are in this channel we would characterize it as a sideways market. When the channel is broken one way or the other we will re-evaluate the situation.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In the mean time here is a look at a couple of the Trade Plans open in the Research Lab.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/jdas.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="jdas" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/jdas_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/skyw.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="354" alt="skyw" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/skyw_thumb.png" width="504" border="0"></a> </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This gives a different view of the trades and shows the patterns that emerged to bring the trades onto our radar screen.</p>
<p>I hope everyone is enjoying the preparation for the Holidays and I want to take this opportunity to thank our members for their support.</p>
<p>We had some awesome picks this week in the Lab and hope our members were able to make some profitable trades.</p>
<p>We are looking forward to the New Year and have some really good ideas and features on deck.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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</tbody>
</table>
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		<title>Investing Systems Market Toolbox Research Lab &#8211; Trade Plans Recap &#8211; 4 Homeruns in a Row</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/252/investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab-trade-plans-recap-4-homeruns-in-a-row/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/252/investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab-trade-plans-recap-4-homeruns-in-a-row/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Dec 2009 03:07:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/252/investing-systems-market-toolbox-research-lab-trade-plans-recap-4-homeruns-in-a-row/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dear Research Lab Members,
We sincerely appreciate your support. As you know, our software gives stock traders a serious advantage each trading day. 
One of the most useful sections in the RL is the Trade Planner, where our system identifies high-probability, high-reward swing-trades.
The last 4 trades speak for themselves.



 



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&#160;



 



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While the Trade Plans [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear Research Lab Members,</p>
<p>We sincerely appreciate your support. As you know, our software gives stock traders a serious advantage each trading day. </p>
<p>One of the most useful sections in the RL is the Trade Planner, where our system identifies high-probability, high-reward swing-trades.</p>
<p>The last 4 trades speak for themselves.</p>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/ctfo123.jpg"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="266" alt="ctfo123" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/ctfo123_thumb.jpg" width="528" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/heat123.jpg"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="265" alt="heat123" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/heat123_thumb.jpg" width="529" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/nano123.jpg"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="265" alt="nano123" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/nano123_thumb.jpg" width="529" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
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<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/tstc123.jpg"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="265" alt="tstc123" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/tstc123_thumb.jpg" width="528" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>While the Trade Plans are automatically closed when a stock hits Target 3, the stocks above went on to make considerable gains over the subsequent couple days. Pull up some charts and see for yourself.</p>
<p>New Members should be sure to review the Closed Plans on the Trade Plans section of the Research Lab.</p>
<p>Members that have been with us a while, please do not expect miracles every day!</p>
<p>If you haven&#8217;t had a chance to read through our previous blog posts, please take a few minutes now. It will provide considerable market insight as well as some great tidbits pertaining to the Research Lab.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>All Members are required to read the 1st blog post, from July 2008:</p>
<p><a title="http://blog.investingsystems.com/11/stock-trading-vs-buy-and-hold-investing/" href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/11/stock-trading-vs-buy-and-hold-investing/">http://blog.investingsystems.com/11/stock-trading-vs-buy-and-hold-investing/</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Once again we truly appreciate the support from our Research Partners &#8211; that means YOU!</p>
<p>If you are not currently a Member and would like to join:</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stocktradersoftware.net/" target="_blank">CLICK HERE TO JOIN THE RESEARCH LAB</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<td valign="top" width="257"><a href="http://www.stocktradersoftware.net/" target="_blank"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="37" alt="RL1t" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/RL1t.png" width="244" border="0"></a> </td>
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		<title>Stock Speculation in An Uncertain Market Environment</title>
		<link>http://blog.investingsystems.com/242/stock-speculation-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.investingsystems.com/242/stock-speculation-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Nov 2009 05:19:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Main Content]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.investingsystems.com/242/stock-speculation-in-an-uncertain-market-environment/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome new Research Lab members. As you know, while we speculate in stocks on a daily basis, we must consider the overall long-term perspective.
In this monthly chart of the SPY you see a shaded box that indicates the range we expect the market to trade in the near-term. 
&#160;



 



&#160;
We will be watching to see [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome new Research Lab members. As you know, while we speculate in stocks on a daily basis, we must consider the overall long-term perspective.</p>
<p>In this monthly chart of the SPY you see a shaded box that indicates the range we expect the market to trade in the near-term. </p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="400" border="0">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="400"><a href="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/SPYmonthlyNov272009.png"><img style="border-top-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px" height="486" alt="SPYmonthlyNov272009" src="http://blog.investingsystems.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/SPYmonthlyNov272009_thumb.png" width="472" border="0"></a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We will be watching to see how the market reacts to the upward sloping 10-wk moving average as well as the 30-week MA overhead resistance. <strong>The lower end of the range represents a significant pullback from current levels</strong> so we should be prepared for anything at this juncture.</p>
<p>The market is likely to trade sandwiched between these two moving averages for some time, at which point it will show us the true state of affairs. </p>
<p>The yellow box extends 8 months into the future and is likely to contain most of the price action.</p>
<p>We would be at a sell signal if the white 10-week moving average is broken to the downside at any point in time.</p>
<p>An initial buy signal would occur if the price breaks above the yellow 30-week moving average, but final confirmation would be IF the 10-week crossed above the 30-week, with the price above both.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s hard to imagine we are headed to repeat the pattern from the last yellow trading zone, but stranger things have happened. Only if the economy truly recovers would we expect to see a push above the 30-week.</p>
<p>It is perhaps more likely that we will see pressure that drives it down to test the rising 10-week. That will be a most critical juncture as all bets are off if that fails to hold.</p>
<p>We are as <strong>cautious as ever right now and consider holding stocks overnight risky</strong>. However in many cases, to maximize return on subsequent price momentum, we are required to hold the occasional stock overnight perhaps several days. Recent examples are NLST SEED HEAT CGA APWR.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>We still ALWAYS suggest using a stop-loss order on every trade and every open position. Sell losing positions quickly and take small profits frequently. When you latch on to the occasional trade that makes an explosive move up, consider taking partial profits the same day and letting the remainder ride with a trailing stop to maximize the participation.</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We will continue to speculate when the tape is with us and will not be afraid to have the trading account in ALL CASH frequently as we go forward.</p>
<p><strong><u>We will NOT allow a major drawdown of capital if the market begins an intermediate down cycle.</u></strong> Taking smaller positions in high-risk high-reward trades will be the plan for now, with one eye on the exits.</p>
<p>Whatever is least expected by the conventional wisdom in 2010 is most likely to transpire. While we never rule out a catastrophic black-swan melt-down, we can trade each day as we see fit, confident in the fact that the Research Lab stock picks will present untold opportunity for profit with short-term speculation. Every day, right at the open, in real-time &#8211; our scans isolate stocks that simply stand out from the rest and the price momentum says is it all. Every day is a new day with new picks, though the market leaders are evident to all users as the familiar names frequent the lists day after day.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s what makes it so fun. That&#8217;s what makes every trading session exciting.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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